February 2 marks Groundhog Day, a long-standing tradition where a rodent predicts the weather. According to legend, if a groundhog sees its shadow, six more weeks of winter follow. If not, spring arrives early.
This tradition has its roots in Pennsylvania Dutch culture, tracing back to ancient European weather lore. The groundhog, or woodchuck, took over the role once given to hedgehogs and badgers in Europe.

Groundhogs: More Than Just Weather Predictors
Groundhogs (Marmota monax) are one of the most common and recognizable rodents in North America. Here are some quick facts:
- They belong to the squirrel family and are expert burrowers.
- They hibernate, emerging in early February to breed.
- They communicate with whistles and are sometimes called “whistle pigs.”
- They can climb trees and swim to escape predators.
How Accurate Are Groundhog Predictions?
Historically, Punxsutawney Phil—the most famous groundhog—has about a 39% accuracy rate. Not exactly a reliable meteorologist. But the real charm of Groundhog Day isn’t the forecast; it’s the tradition itself.
Groundhog Predictions in Lavaca, Arkansas
In Lavaca, Arkansas, where I live, the weather forecast for today, February 2, 2025, calls for partly cloudy skies with a high of 69°F (21°C) and a low of 41°F (5°C). Given these conditions, there’s a reasonable chance that a groundhog in the area might see its shadow, suggesting six more weeks of winter according to tradition. However, with partly cloudy skies, shadows could be obscured at times, leading to an uncertain prediction.
Regardless of the groundhog’s forecast, the mild temperatures offer a pleasant opportunity to enjoy the outdoors and observe local wildlife.
Photographing Groundhogs in the Wild
As a wildlife photographer, I’ve spent time observing and photographing groundhogs. They’re fascinating subjects, often seen sunbathing or nibbling on plants. Photographing them requires patience, a long lens, and a quiet approach. Watching their behaviors up close can provide unique opportunities for compelling images.
The Fun of Groundhog Day
Whether Phil sees his shadow or not, Groundhog Day remains a fun way to break up winter and look forward to spring. Will his prediction hold true this year? Only time will tell.
What’s your take on this tradition? Have you ever photographed a groundhog? Share your thoughts in the comments!
very interesting !
I have a groundhog that lives on the backside of my property which I have photographed many times. Every spring, she births anywhere from two to four “chucklings”, as groundhog babies are called. She gives us hours of fun and fascinating viewing!
Thank you for sharing such interesting information.